Here’s some good news for truckers. Diesel could be the biggest winner of the anticipated all round fuel price decreases at month end dropping by a whopping 88 cents per litre. This is according to the Automobile Association (AA), which was commenting on unaudited mid-month fuel price data released by the Central Energy Fund.
“The Rand has put on a remarkable rally against the US dollar in recent weeks, with the daily exchange rate strengthening from R17.30 on August 21 to R16.70 on August 31 and since the start of September, the Rand has traded in a commendably tight range by recent standards,” says the AA.
“At the same time the Rand was advancing, international oil prices were beating a retreat, with the landed price of refined fuels in South Africa slipping by more than ten percent since September 1st. Apart from diesel, data currently shows petrol lowering by between 26 and 36 cents a litre with illuminating paraffin also showing a healthy 83-cent drop,” the Association notes.
However, the AA cautions that oil prices would likely continue to see-saw as world oil demand and supply gradually re-balance following the turbulence of the initial lockdown period of March to June. The Association also notes that it is usual at this time of year for the impending Northern Hemisphere winter to start driving demand for heating fuels, meaning pressure on refining capacity for fuel oils, including diesel.
“However, the seismic shock that COVID-19 has dealt to the world’s economy, along with high stock levels, might mean the increased winter demand for heating fuels may not be enough to translate into substantial diesel price increases. A period of further oil price and Rand stability would give a much-needed breather to South African fuel users,” the Association concludes.